We have already warmed the planet by nearly 1°C. And our current carbon-emissions trajectory will get us to 4-6°C of further warming. The Paris Accord goal to keep warming below 1.5 to 2 degrees Celsius is wishful thinking. The Accord, if it is successful, will achieve only about half of what we need to do. “We are almost at midnight on the climate clock,”says Naomi Klein, author of This Changes Everything and the just-released No is Not Enough which is a blueprint on how to deal with the shock politics of Donald Trump.
Climate Clock Nearing Midnight
Image: AdobeStock, Below2°C
We have squandered countless opportunities to keep our planet environmentally safe. Decades have been lost when we should have taken action but failed to do so. Rather than moving to a clean energy platform, we have allowed the fossil fuel sector to spread its tentacles into every aspect of our lives – our governments, our institutions, our communities and the media.
During these same decades, oil companies have opened up vast frontiers for oil and gas. Billions have been spent on misinformation campaigns and calculated deceptions to plant doubt in the public mind about climate change and the need to take action on global warming.
And so the climate clock keeps ticking slowly but ruthlessly toward midnight. Year after year our chances of preventing irreversible global warming and climate catastrophes diminish. This already dire predicament is made even more perilous by the rise of Donald Trump. We do not yet understand the true meaning and impact that the Trump factor will have on the climate movement. It could be of epic proportions.
The Oiliest Whitehouse Ever
Trump has established the oiliest Whitehouse ever. He’s clearly on a mission to rescue the fossil fuel sector. Trump is reversing initiatives undertaken by President Obama’s administration – the Clean Power Act, the moratorium on coal, fuel standards for automobiles. He’s expanding drilling in the Gulf, killing research budgets and programs (NASA, EPA) meant to cope with real-world climate impacts. The removal of so-called barriers against the fossil fuel industry will only accelerate and amplify the very activities that are fueling an imminent climate nightmare.
But the US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement is by far the most drastic step taken by Trump. Although other nations remain committed to the success of the Accord, the reality is that fighting climate change without the US, the biggest carbon polluter in history, dwindles to zero.
The world is full of climate pretenders – leaders who make inspiring speeches and use strong climate rhetoric but then turn around and go limp on climate initiatives. They fail miserably to walk their climate talk.
Just last week in Paris, the G20 had an opportunity to slam Donald Trump on his no-show on climate. Not only has he withdrawn from the Paris Accord but he’s undertaking a world-wide campaign to boost the fossil fuel industry, a blatant act of sabotage of the Accord.
And yet, the best the G19 (G20 minus Trump) could do is issue a watered-down communiqué, pathetically weak on climate, destined to appease Trump, perhaps the most dangerous man on the planet. Does Angela Merkel of Germany, who delivered the communiqué to the media, need to be reminded that the appeasement of a madman did not turn out very well during the 1930s?
G20 – Communique on Energy and Climate
In this section of the communique, G20 leaders politely recognize the US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement.
We take note of the decision of the United States of America to withdraw from the Paris Agreement. The United States of America announced it will immediately cease the implementation of its current nationally-determined contribution and affirms its strong commitment to an approach that lowers emissions while supporting economic growth and improving energy security needs.
The second part of the statement is most surprising. It’s a deplorable pro-fossil-fuel acknowledgement of Trump’s intention to foster the growth and use of fossil fuels, the very antithesis of what the world needs to do to save humanity.
The United States of America states it will endeavour to work closely with other countries to help them access and use fossil fuels more cleanly and efficiently and help deploy renewable and other clean energy sources, given the importance of energy access and security in their nationally- determined contributions.
Talk is cheap! These same G20 members are spending four times more on fossil fuels than on renewable energy according to a new joint analysis sponsored by Oil Change International, Sierra Club, WWF European Policy Office and Friends of the Earth. The analysis states the obvious: G20 countries are financing climate disaster.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau
There is no greater climate pretender on the planet than my own Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. His climate action charade is unrivaled on the world stage. He went to Paris in December of 2015 and proclaimed that “Canada is back,” and then returned home to approve two new pipelines (to boost Tar Sands production) and the LNG project in BC. He even cheered when Trump announced the approval of the Keystone XL pipeline. Trudeau’s carbon scoreboard is a dismal reminder of his climate hypocrisy.
Where is the Urgency?
Credit: YouTube, David Usher’s 2 degree climate clock at Concordia
Recent warnings about the accelerated rate of global warming are alarming. Scientists warn that we only have three years to stop dangerous climate change.
Oil Change International’ s September 2016 report – The Sky’s Limit – shows that if the world has any hope of achieving the emissions and temperature targets of the Paris Accord, we “need to stop all new fossil fuel infrastructure and industry expansion.”
The evidence is mounting. We are in a climate crisis – massive Antarctic ice fractures, record wildfires, ongoing droughts, Arctic ice melt, permafrost thaw and the latest CO2 measurement of 406.31 ppm
What About the Kids?
The most severe effects of climate disruption will fall on future generations – the kids alive today (like my grandchildren) and the yet unborn – who will face head-on the disruptive and severe impacts of catastrophic global warming. Klein refers to this phenomenon as “intergenerational theft” and “intergenerational justice” in her latest book No is Not Enough. She fears, as I do, that these kids will grow up during the next mass extinction rather than enjoying the beauty and possibilities of the planet which we were exposed to during our youth.
It is rather a moot point now to talk about climate action from world leaders. Trump is busy trying to turn the US presidency into a meglamaniac return to the Great Ol’ Days, with the Grand Ol’ Party meekly in tow (or else). Trudeau is playing Devil’s advocate and speaking out of both sides of his mouth. May is floundering through a sea of self-serving politicians, and abandoning all sense to keep people happy over Brexit. The EU in general is in turmoil as it deals with pending financial crisis and leadership changes. Asia and Oceans are still on the same economic paths as always.
Despite private business working frantically on bringing clean energy sources to market, the whole subject of reducing greenhouse emissions seems to have slipped into an abyss of non action.
Three years is not long. Personally, I think we will miss that boat too… because no one is taking this seriously enough!
There are too many world leaders only pretending to be interested on the climate. And then the fact that the US is out of the climate agenda will result in other countries going limp on their climate action initiatives. The market and the private sector will move the needle somewhat but without strong government support and policies, we are only a few seconds from midnight.
It’s a rather dismal outlook.
It’s hard Rolly, what’s going on. It’s heartbreaking. I seem to only find solace in the hope for miracles. There is an inertia existing that seems to have the force of the entire solar system behind it and unstoppable. To watch the political spectrum go into such a desperate state of insanity is like watching a horror movie, the kind that makes you sick.
Still, the human species and the planet itself are beautiful. With all the droughts and floods, and various and sundry climate events, there still is always somewhere, lots of somewhere’s, that are stunningly beautiful. At every moment of the day there is someone on the planet in a state of awe because of nature’s beauty. As long as that can happen, then life’s beauty is winning– at least for awhile. I selfishly hope I am not here the day that ends.
Danny – Thank you for sharing your observations about the climate but also the beauty that our planet has to offer. I often reflect on that as well especially when I’m by the water by the lake where I live. When I’m there, it seems like everything is as it should be.
Enjoy every day as it comes.
How are you doing? We need to get everyone onboard with all of this. I am here to help and do what I can but some of my time is limited. Let me know if there are things I can help you with. I cannot tonight or do much this week because I have health issues and I need to do a few procedures. Once I am back to normal, hopefully by Christmas or the early New Year I can be more helpful. You can leave me a note here and fill me in on things I can help with. It’s good to be doing stuff together again.
Thank you for the offer to help out. These is much that you can help with and we can discuss this further at the beginning of the new year. I’m looking for someone who can curate articles for publishing. You could help out in the RiseForClimate Facebook Group. I’ll be starting video-making. It all depends what you wish to do, whatever you’re comfortable with – something you will like and something that will challenge you.
Best wishes. We can talk in the New Year.